Sun Nov 09 14:40:00 UTC 2025: Ethiopia’s Port Ambitions Raise War Fears with Eritrea
Tensions are escalating between Ethiopia and Eritrea, fueled by Ethiopia’s renewed push for access to a seaport. Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s insistence on securing a Red Sea port for landlocked Ethiopia has sparked fears of a potential military conflict with Eritrea, particularly over the port of Assab.
Ethiopia currently relies on Djibouti for its imports and exports, incurring significant annual costs. Abiy argues that access to its own port is crucial for Ethiopia’s economic growth. Eritrea, however, fears a forceful takeover of Assab, especially after Ethiopian officials visited the border town of Bure.
The two nations, once allies in a conflict against the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), have a history of conflict. The TPLF, which once dominated Ethiopian politics, is again a source of friction, with reports of Eritrean support for a breakaway faction within the TPLF.
While experts differ on the likelihood of a full-scale war, the risk remains high. Some analysts point to Ethiopia’s internal conflicts as a potential deterrent, while others highlight Abiy’s determination to secure a port. Abiy himself has stated that while he seeks a peaceful resolution, Ethiopia will not remain landlocked.
The African Union and potentially the United States are being eyed as possible mediators. Eritrea has also sought support from Egypt, which has its own strategic interests in the Red Sea. The situation is further complicated by upcoming Ethiopian elections in 2026.
First Piper 