Tue Oct 07 00:30:00 UTC 2025: **Summary:**

Ahead of the Monday Night Football matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars, Action Network’s Sean Koerner, a leading predictive analytics expert, advises betting the “under” on Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yardage prop. While Pacheco has performed well in recent games, Koerner believes the Jaguars’ strong run defense, coupled with their ability to limit stacked boxes and the increasing involvement of other Chiefs running backs, will hinder Pacheco’s performance. He also anticipates a closer game than expected, potentially favoring a game script that doesn’t heavily rely on Pacheco. Koerner projects a 61% chance that Pacheco will stay under 29.5 rushing yards.

**News Article:**

**Expert Predicts Slow Night for Chiefs’ Pacheco Against Jaguars’ Stout Run Defense**

**Kansas City, MO** – As the Kansas City Chiefs prepare to face the Jacksonville Jaguars on Monday Night Football, Action Network’s Sean Koerner, a leading predictive analytics expert, is advising bettors to consider the “under” on Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yardage prop.

Despite Pacheco’s recent strong performances, Koerner anticipates a challenging matchup against the Jaguars’ impressive run defense. “The Jaguars have a solid run defense and haven’t needed to stack the box, since the entire unit has been solid in run support, which should make it even tougher for Pacheco,” Koerner stated. He highlights the Jaguars’ effective linebackers and safeties in limiting explosive runs.

Furthermore, Koerner points out the increasing involvement of rookie running back Brashard Smith, and veteran Kareem Hunt, potentially cutting into Pacheco’s carries. He also believes the Jaguars’ efficient run game and ability to control possession could limit the Chiefs’ overall offensive volume.

“All of this leads me to have Pacheco’s median closer to 25 yards, with around a 61% chance to stay under 29.5,” Koerner concludes. Bettors considering prop bets for the Chiefs-Jaguars game may want to heed Koerner’s expert analysis.

[Image: Isiah Pacheco, Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images]

Read More