Sun May 11 20:30:00 UTC 2025: **Upset Alert: Denver Nuggets Look to Extend Lead Against Oklahoma City Thunder**

DENVER, CO – The Denver Nuggets are defying expectations, holding a 2-1 series lead over the heavily favored Oklahoma City Thunder heading into Game 4 of their NBA Playoffs matchup at Ball Arena this Sunday, May 11. Despite the Thunder’s impressive 68-14 regular season record, the Nuggets secured a dramatic overtime victory in Game 3, limiting Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to just 18 points.

While the Thunder boasts a strong 32-8 road record, the Nuggets’ home performance has been inconsistent lately (4-6 in their last ten home games). This unexpected series momentum shift has created intriguing betting odds, with the Thunder favored at -245 and the Nuggets as the underdog at +199. The implied point totals suggest a close game, with 115.81 for the Thunder and 112.41 for the Nuggets, and a total game points over/under of 227.

NBC Sports’ betting model and expert analysts are offering several predictions: a moneyline bet on the Nuggets, a spread bet on the Nuggets +6.5, and an under bet on the game total. These predictions are based on various factors including recent team performance, player matchups, and historical trends.

The Nuggets enter Game 4 with recent positive trends, having won five of their last six home games and seeing the over hit in four of their last five. However, the Thunder’s road record against the spread (26-17) suggests potential resilience.

Fans can find detailed analysis, updated odds from various sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM), and additional expert picks on the NBC Sports website. Remember to gamble responsibly. For help with gambling addiction, contact the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

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