Fri Dec 05 05:00:00 UTC 2025: Summary:

The article, published in Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season, uses the NFL’s Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to assess each team’s chances of reaching the postseason. The model dynamically updates every five minutes during live games. The article lists each team along with its playoff probability as of December 2nd at 11:30 AM ET, and also highlights teams with less than a 10% chance of making the playoffs. The analysis is conducted by Ali Bhanpuri, with assistance from Tom Blair and Jack Andrade. It also references other Next Gen Stats articles covering fantasy football analysis and defensive player rankings.

News Article:

Playoff Picture Tightens as NFL Enters Week 14; Next Gen Stats Model Reveals Key Contenders

NEW YORK, NY – With the 2025 NFL regular season entering Week 14, the race for the playoffs is intensifying. According to the NFL’s Next Gen Stats playoff probability model, several teams are vying for a coveted postseason berth.

Ali Bhanpuri, Senior Director of Content & Editorial, in collaboration with Special Projects Lead Tom Blair and Manager of NFL Research Jack Andrade, analyzed the model’s latest projections, released this morning. The model dynamically updates every five minutes during live games, factoring in real-time win probabilities to provide the most accurate playoff forecasts.

As of 11:30 AM ET on December 2nd, the team with the highest chance of making the playoffs is the Colts with .672%. In contrast, teams like the Las Vegas Raiders (2-10) and Tennessee Titans (1-11) are facing long odds, with playoff probabilities below 10%.

The Next Gen Stats model also offers insights into other areas, including fantasy football with their Fantasy AI Assistant powered by Amazon Web Services and defensive metrics, such as top shutdown cornerbacks and coverage responsibilities.

Fans can track the live changes in playoff probabilities on NFL.com’s Playoff Picture. With several critical matchups on the horizon, the next few weeks promise to be pivotal in determining the final playoff field.

Read More