Sun Nov 30 19:00:00 UTC 2025: Okay, here’s a summary and a news article based on the provided text:

Summary:

An Action Network predictive analyst, Nick, with a successful track record of 28-13 on NFL player prop bets this season, is offering his picks for NFL Week 13. He focuses on two specific bets:

  • Nick Chubb (Browns RB) Over 15.5 Rushing Yards: While Chubb’s carries have decreased recently, his matchup against the Colts is favorable due to his running style aligning well with the Colts’ defensive weaknesses. Nick projects around 24.5 yards.
  • Breece Hall (Jets RB) Longest Rush Under 16.5 Yards: Hall’s explosive run rate is lower with Tyrod Taylor at QB compared to Justin Fields. The Falcons’ defense is also particularly strong against Hall’s preferred running style (zone-concept runs to the left).

News Article:

Analyst’s NFL Week 13 Prop Picks: Chubb for Yards, Hall for Short Runs

Action Network — Predictive analyst Nick, boasting a season record of 28-13 on NFL player prop bets (68.3%), has released his Week 13 picks, focusing on rushing yards for Nick Chubb and the longest rush for Breece Hall.

Nick, a Mathematics Ph.D. and frequent sports betting analyst, sees value in betting the Over on Nick Chubb’s Rushing Yards at 15.5 for his game against the Indianapolis Colts. He acknowledges Chubb’s decreased carries in recent weeks but believes the Colts’ defense is susceptible to Chubb’s running style, projecting around 24.5 rushing yards. This can be found at bet365 and BetMGM/HardRock.

However, Nick is recommending betting the Under on Breece Hall’s Longest Rush at 16.5 Yards in the Jets’ matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. He argues that Hall’s explosive rushing plays have been less frequent with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback and due to the Falcons being strong at zone-concept run defense. Nick projects the under to hit nearly 65% of the time, with this bet being found on DraftKings and BetMGM.

Read More