Thu Mar 27 19:10:00 UTC 2025: ## Sabalenka Favored to Reach Miami Open Final Against Resurgent Paolini
**Miami, FL** – World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is heavily favored to reach her first Miami Open final, facing off against Italy’s Lucia Paolini on March 27th. The match, which begins at approximately 3:00 p.m. ET and will be live-streamed on TennisChannel.com (US only), will determine Sabalenka’s opponent in the final. The victor will face either Alexandra Eala or the winner of the Jessica Pegula/Emma Raducanu match.
Sabalenka, who has yet to drop a set in Miami, is seeking her first title after recent final defeats in Melbourne and Indian Wells. While she holds a 3-1 head-to-head advantage over Paolini, including a victory on hard courts last fall, Paolini’s recent resurgence presents a challenge. The Italian has impressed in Miami, overcoming Naomi Osaka in a thrilling three-set victory and defeating Magda Linette. Her improved backhand is a key factor in her current form.
Despite Sabalenka’s superior height, serve, and groundstrokes, Paolini’s speed and aggressive style could prove disruptive. The match’s outcome is expected to hinge on whether Paolini can maintain her momentum and capitalize on the crowd’s support.
Betting odds heavily favor Sabalenka (-625 moneyline), reflecting her status as the overwhelming favorite. However, Paolini (+425 underdog) remains a potential upset threat.
First Piper 