Thu Jan 23 00:30:00 IST 2025: ## PSG’s Champions League Hopes Dwindle, Brest’s Fate Delayed

**Paris, France** – Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) narrowly avoided elimination from the Champions League group stage this week, thanks to Benfica’s dramatic 4-5 loss to Barcelona. While this outcome averted a worst-case scenario for the Parisians, their chances of progressing to the knockout phase have decreased to 59%, down from 67% before the latest round of matches, according to mathematical calculations by Julien Guyon. PSG’s Wednesday clash against Manchester City now holds even greater significance; a victory boosts their qualification probability to 85%, while a draw or loss drops it to 39% and 33%, respectively.

Meanwhile, Stade Brestois’ hopes of securing a last-16 berth this week have been dashed by Atalanta and Atlético Madrid’s victories. Their qualification will now depend on their final group game against Real Madrid on January 29th. However, Brest’s chances of finishing in the top 8 have improved to 36% following Borussia Dortmund’s loss, with their odds rising to 66% should they defeat Shakhtar Donetsk.

The article also briefly mentions other matches, highlighting Erling Haaland’s continued goal-scoring prowess and Lille’s respectable performance against a stronger opponent.

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