Mon Nov 04 14:44:14 UTC 2024: ## Trump vs. Harris: What a US Election Could Mean for India
**Washington D.C., November 4, 2024:** The race for the White House is neck and neck, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump vying for the presidency. While a Harris victory might see a continuation of the Biden administration’s policies towards India, a Trump presidency could bring significant changes.
**Trade and Technology:**
Trump’s focus on trade deals and “America First” policies could impact the “iCET” initiative, a joint US-India project launched in 2023 focused on critical and emerging technologies. While he might support space exploration and commercialization, he could view Indian manufacturing as a threat to US jobs, particularly in areas like semiconductors. This could lead to friction and a demand for tangible returns from India.
**Defence and Security:**
Trump is expected to emphasize the defense aspect of the US-India relationship, pushing for increased Indian spending on US arms. He might also seek a trade deal with India, similar to his attempt during his first term. However, his stance on China could impact India’s position in the Indo-Pacific region. Trump’s approach to Taiwan remains ambiguous, potentially creating a complex situation for India.
**Russia and Ukraine:**
Trump’s desire for a swift end to the Ukraine war could lead to unfavorable terms for Kyiv. His past statements about Russian President Putin raise concerns about how he would handle Russia-related sanctions, which could affect India’s growing reliance on Russian oil.
**Immigration and People-to-People Ties:**
Trump’s immigration policies could significantly impact Indian migrants, with his focus on curbing both legal and illegal immigration. This could create challenges for Indian students seeking education in the US. While both Trump and Modi have demonstrated a good personal relationship, Trump’s transactional approach might limit the scope of US-India cooperation.
**Overall:**
The outcome of the US election could have significant ramifications for India’s foreign policy and economic interests. A Trump presidency could lead to a more transactional and “America First” approach, potentially creating challenges in areas like trade, technology, and immigration. However, his focus on defense and a strong relationship with Modi could provide opportunities for India in those areas. The outcome of the election will remain a closely watched event for India, with implications for its global standing and its relationship with the United States.
First Piper 