Mon Oct 28 16:20:00 UTC 2024: ## Harris Edges Out Trump in Latest Poll, But Race Remains Tight
**WASHINGTON, D.C.** – Vice President Kamala Harris has regained a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll, though the race remains tight enough to make the outcome of the 2024 presidential election uncertain. The poll, conducted October 18-22, found Harris leading Trump by 4 points among likely voters, 51-47%, with a 2-point lead among all registered voters.
Despite Harris’ lead, the poll highlights key issues that could swing the election. The economy and inflation continue to be major concerns for voters, with 90% and 85%, respectively, calling them highly important in their vote. While Harris has the advantage on issues like abortion and healthcare, Trump leads on immigration, the economy, and inflation.
The poll also reveals a shift in voter preferences among Hispanic voters, a crucial demographic in battleground states like Arizona and Nevada. Harris holds a commanding 30-point lead among Hispanic voters, compared to a 33-point lead Biden had in 2020.
Trump, however, maintains strong support among rural voters and white men without college degrees. Additionally, the poll found a slight shift in favor of Trump among younger men, although the difference is not statistically significant.
The race is further complicated by the candidates’ personal attributes. Harris leads Trump on most measures, including mental sharpness, physical health, honesty, and understanding of everyday people’s problems. However, Trump remains relatively even with Harris on being trusted in a crisis.
The poll also found a notable increase in the number of voters concerned about protecting democracy. While both candidates are vying for this segment of the electorate, Democrats are more likely to prioritize abortion, while Republicans prioritize immigration.
Ultimately, the outcome of the election will likely depend on voter turnout. While both candidates have high levels of enthusiasm among their supporters, the race in battleground states remains a dead heat.
The poll, conducted online via the Ipsos KnowledgePanel®, surveyed 2,808 adults, including 2,392 registered voters and 1,913 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is 2 percentage points for the full sample and registered voters, 2.5 points for likely voters, and 5.5 points for likely voters in battleground states.
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