Mon Sep 09 14:41:26 UTC 2024: ## Trump Gains Ground on Harris: New Poll Shows Shift in Momentum
**WASHINGTON** – A recent New York Times/Siena College poll has revealed a potential shift in momentum in the presidential race, with former President Donald Trump gaining ground on Vice President Kamala Harris. The poll, which shows Trump leading Harris nationally by 48 points to 47, has raised concerns among Democratic strategists.
Renowned polling analyst Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, has confirmed this shift in his own model, though he maintains that Harris remains the favorite. “It confirms the model’s view that there’s been some sort of a shift in momentum in the race,” Silver wrote on his blog.
While the race remains close, the poll suggests a potential turnaround for Trump, who had previously trailed Harris in most polls. The shift comes after President Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw from the race, endorsing Harris as his successor.
“It’s a real lesson here in the dangers of poll cherry-picking,” Silver said, addressing criticisms regarding his model’s exclusion of certain polls.
Despite the recent shift, Silver cautions that the race is far from over. “A lot could still change,” he said, highlighting the potential impact of the upcoming debate between Harris and Trump in Pittsburgh.
Silver also notes that the narrowing gap could be attributed to concerns over Harris’s progressive stance on issues like immigration and healthcare, which have become major talking points for the Trump campaign. The Times poll found that 44% of voters believe Harris is too progressive, compared to 32% who find Trump too conservative.
“Trump tried to repeal Obamacare, and he appointed three highly conservative Supreme Court justices who overturned Roe v. Wade,” Silver wrote, emphasizing the conservative nature of Trump’s policy positions.
Despite the recent shift, Silver’s model still predicts a Harris victory, though the gap has narrowed significantly. The outcome of the race will ultimately hinge on the upcoming debate and the continued evolution of public sentiment.
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