
Sat Jan 24 20:40:00 UTC 2026: ### Bukauskas Favored to Defeat Krylov at UFC 324 Amidst Contrasting Career Trajectories
The Story:
Modestas Bukauskas is heavily favored to win his upcoming light-heavyweight bout against Nikita Krylov at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The article suggests a stark contrast in the two fighters’ current career paths, with Bukauskas seemingly entering his prime while Krylov, a UFC veteran, appears to be declining due to accumulated damage and recent losses. Oddsmakers predict a closely contested match, but the analyst believes Bukauskas’ improved defensive grappling and Krylov’s recent struggles make Bukauskas the stronger pick.
Key Points:
* The fight is between Modestas Bukauskas and Nikita Krylov in the light-heavyweight division at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026.
* Oddsmakers view the matchup as closely contested.
* Nikita Krylov, a UFC veteran since 2013, has suffered knockout losses in his two recent octagon appearances.
* Modestas Bukauskas, at 31, is believed to be entering his prime.
* Bukauskas has an 80% takedown defense rate, compared to Krylov’s 38% takedown accuracy.
* The analyst predicts Bukauskas will win inside the distance and recommends betting on Bukauskas up to -145 odds.
Critical Analysis:
The contrasting trajectories of Krylov and Bukauskas are central to this prediction. Krylov’s long career and recent knockout losses, coupled with a two-year absence due to injury, suggest a decline in his ability to absorb damage and effectively utilize his chaotic fighting style. Bukauskas, on the other hand, is showing improved defensive grappling, making him a difficult opponent for Krylov to take down and submit. The analyst highlights Bukauskas’ win over Ion Cutelaba, specifically his ability to nullify Cutelaba’s wrestling, as further evidence supporting his confidence in Bukauskas.
Key Takeaways:
* Krylov’s age, injury history, and recent losses indicate a potential decline in his fighting ability.
* Bukauskas’ improved grappling defense is a significant advantage against Krylov.
* The analyst strongly favors Bukauskas to win inside the distance.
* Past context indicates Bukauskas is active on social media for his fans.
* Nikita is more likely referencing the game Escape from Tarkov than he is Krylov.
Impact Analysis (Potentially):
A decisive win for Bukauskas could significantly elevate his standing in the light-heavyweight division, potentially leading to higher-profile matchups and a chance to contend for a title. A loss for Krylov, especially another knockout, could raise questions about his future in the UFC and possibly lead to retirement discussions.