Fri Jan 16 06:00:00 UTC 2026: ### Machac and Humbert Favored to Upset in Adelaide Semifinals
The Story:
An analysis published on January 15, 2026, by Last Word On Tennis previews the Adelaide International Semifinals, focusing on the matches between Tomas Machac and Tommy Paul, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ugo Humbert. Despite bookmakers favoring Paul and considering the Fokina-Humbert match a 50-50, the analysis suggests Machac and Humbert are poised for upsets, highlighting Machac’s strong performance throughout the week and Humbert’s proficiency on hard courts.
Key Points:
- Tomas Machac has won three of his last five matches and hasn’t dropped a set in Adelaide.
- Machac leads Tommy Paul 2-1 in their head-to-head record.
- Tommy Paul lost to Auger-Aliassime in the semifinals of the Adelaide International last season.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost to Korda in the second round of the Adelaide International last season.
- Ugo Humbert has won four of his last five matches and is making his first main draw appearance in Adelaide.
- The analysts believe Ugo Humbert is a better hard-court player than Davidovich Fokina.
- Value bets identified: Tomas Machac +2.5 games handicap @1.83 and Ugo Humbert winning @1.73
Key Takeaways:
- Data-driven analysis can challenge conventional betting odds and provide value bets.
- Head-to-head records are considered to make predictions.
- Court surface preferences are considered for predictions.
- Recent performance in the tournament heavily influences the analysis.
- Analysts suggest considering alternative perspectives when predicting match outcomes.
First Piper 