Tue Nov 25 04:19:26 UTC 2025: Here’s a summary and a news article based on the provided text:
Summary:
A new poll in France is predicting a significant victory for Jordan Bardella, the 30-year-old leader of the far-right National Rally party, in the 2027 presidential election. The Odoxa poll suggests he would win against all tested opponents in a second-round runoff. This comes even as Marine Le Pen, Bardella’s mentor, faces potential disqualification from running due to a misappropriation of funds conviction. While this poll is positive for the National Rally, analysts caution that being a frontrunner years before an election is no guarantee of success.
News Article:
Far-Right Leader Bardella Poised for Victory in 2027 French Election, Poll Suggests
PARIS, FRANCE – November 25, 2025 – A new poll has sent shockwaves through French politics, predicting a landslide victory for Jordan Bardella, the 30-year-old president of the far-right National Rally (RN) party, in the 2027 presidential election. The Odoxa poll, released today, shows Bardella leading all potential opponents in a second-round runoff.
The poll, conducted on November 19 and 20 with a sample size of 1,000, indicates that Bardella would garner between 35% and 36% of the votes in the first round, depending on his opponents. Crucially, the poll predicts he would defeat all potential candidates in the subsequent runoff, including far-left leader Jean-Luc Melenchon (74% win) and centrist former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe (53% win). The poll has a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.
Bardella’s surge in popularity comes as his mentor, Marine Le Pen, faces a five-year ban from holding public office following a conviction for misappropriation of funds, a ruling she is appealing. Le Pen’s potential absence positions Bardella as the party’s most viable candidate. His current popularity surpasses Le Pen’s, strengthening his position.
While the poll results are a significant boost for the National Rally, analysts warn against drawing firm conclusions so far in advance of the election. The Odoxa report itself cautions that early leads are not always indicative of final results, referencing past instances where Marine Le Pen and her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, were defeated in presidential runoffs.
The poll also highlights the current political landscape in France, where President Emmanuel Macron’s popularity has declined following his decision to call a general election in mid-2024, resulting in a hung parliament. This political instability appears to be benefiting the National Rally as voters seek alternative leadership.
The 2027 election is already shaping up to be a pivotal moment for France, with the potential for a significant shift to the right under Bardella’s leadership.
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