Mon Jun 30 16:38:01 UTC 2025: **Summary:**

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts above-normal monsoon rainfall for July 2025, particularly in central India. While this is positive for agriculture, the IMD Director-General Mrutunjay Mohapatra cautions that heavy rains could lead to surplus water in the Krishna, Godavari, and Mahanadi river basins, requiring vigilance in Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and Telangana. The monsoon covered the entire country by June 29, significantly ahead of schedule. This rapid coverage is often, but not always, an indicator of above-normal rainfall for the season.

**News Article:**

**India Braces for Above-Normal July Monsoon, River Basins Under Watch**

**NEW DELHI, June 30, 2025** – India is preparing for an “above normal” monsoon season in July, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Director-General Mrutunjay Mohapatra announced today that rainfall is expected to be approximately 6% above the typical 28 cm for the month, which is crucial for agricultural operations.

While the forecast is generally positive, the IMD is urging caution in several states, including Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and Telangana. Mr. Mohapatra warned that heavy rains could lead to surplus water in major river basins like the Krishna, Godavari, and Mahanadi. “We should keep watch and monitor rainfall activity,” he stated.

The monsoon covered the entire country by June 29th, nine days ahead of schedule. This is only the 13th time since 1960 that such rapid coverage has occurred. Historical data suggests a correlation between early coverage and above-normal rainfall for the season.

The early and strong monsoon is attributed to the absence of El Nino. While most regions of India have experienced surplus rainfall so far, eastern and northeastern regions have lagged, and south India is experiencing a slight shortfall.

The IMD promises continuous short-term and extended-range forecasts to provide a better understanding of the monsoon’s progress. Authorities are urged to take all necessary precautions as heavy rainfall is expected in the weeks ahead.

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