Sat Apr 26 22:00:00 UTC 2025: ## Sports Betting Expert Fades Skenes in Friday Night MLB Showdown

**Las Vegas, NV** – Sports betting analyst Josh Inglis is making waves with his Friday MLB pitching prop predictions, notably advising against betting on Pittsburgh Pirates pitcher Paul Skenes’ over in his matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Inglis, a Covers contributor known for his success in player prop markets, highlights several factors influencing his decision.

While acknowledging Skenes’ talent, Inglis points to the Dodgers’ potent offense as a key reason for his “under 17.5 outs” recommendation (+150 odds at bet365). He notes a decline in Skenes’ strikeout percentage and fastball velocity, coupled with his recent season-high pitch count, raising concerns about his ability to last deep into the game against a strong opponent. Furthermore, a favorable wind blowing out to center field adds another layer of risk to Skenes’ performance.

Inglis’s picks also include Seth Lugo’s over 4.5 strikeouts (+130 at BetMGM), citing Lugo’s projected workload and the Astros’ below-average strikeout rate. He also suggests betting on Brandon Young’s under 4.5 hits allowed (+100 at bet365), citing Young’s short leash, projected pitch count, and the potential for rain delays.

Inglis emphasizes the importance of early betting to secure better odds and advises bettors to utilize multiple sportsbooks for optimal pricing. He reminds readers to check local laws before engaging in online sports betting. His analysis is based on data and projections from sources like THE BAT.

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