Wed Mar 12 23:20:00 UTC 2025: **Baylor’s Big 12 Tournament Hopes Tested by Upset-Minded Kansas State**

**Kansas City, MO** – The Baylor Bears, despite their NCAA Tournament hopes, enter tonight’s Big 12 Tournament matchup against Kansas State riding a concerning five-game losing streak against the spread (ATS) as favorites. While Baylor is projected to make the Big Dance and Kansas State the NIT, only one game separated them in the regular season standings. This makes tonight’s game a potential springboard for either team’s postseason aspirations.

Sports analyst Douglas Farmer predicts a close contest, favoring Kansas State to keep the game competitive. He points to Baylor’s recent struggles as a favorite, highlighting their 0-5 ATS record in their last five games as favorites, failing to meet expectations by an average of 5.2 points. Conversely, Kansas State boasts a strong 8-4 ATS record as a single-digit underdog in Big 12 play, particularly excelling at defending three-point shots – a key weakness to exploit against a Baylor team that relies heavily on three-pointers.

Farmer’s best bet is Kansas State +5.5, citing their strong defense and Baylor’s recent struggles. He also suggests an under bet on the total score and a prop bet on Baylor’s leading scorer, V.J. Edgecombe, scoring under 1.5 three-pointers. Farmer’s analysis emphasizes Kansas State’s value as an underdog, given their recent performance and Baylor’s consistent failure to cover the spread as a favorite. The game tips off at 7 PM ET.

**Disclaimer:** *Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly.*

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