Tue Feb 25 12:00:00 UTC 2025: ## Topeka Spring Forecast: Equal Chances of Above and Below Normal Temperatures

**Topeka, KS –** After a winter significantly colder than average, Topeka residents can expect a more unpredictable spring, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA). The agency’s spring 2025 outlook, released Thursday, predicts an equal chance of above-normal and below-normal temperatures for the region from March through May.

This forecast comes despite the continued influence of La Niña, a weather pattern typically associated with cooler temperatures in the area. While most of Kansas is expected to experience near-normal temperatures, the far southwest corner has a higher probability (33-40%) of above-normal temperatures.

Precipitation is also projected to be variable. The eastern quarter of Kansas, including Topeka, has an even chance of above- or below-normal precipitation. However, much of the rest of the state has a higher likelihood (33-40%) of below-normal precipitation, continuing a trend of drier-than-normal conditions seen in 2024. The far western edge of the state faces the highest probability (40-50%) of below-normal precipitation.

Topeka specifically experienced a significant temperature swing this past winter. December was warmer than average (37.1°F vs. 33.9°F historically), while January and February were considerably colder (22.6°F vs. 30.2°F and 23°F vs. 33.8°F respectively). Precipitation also varied, with snowfall totaling 27.8 inches, far exceeding the average of 14.9 inches. This included a record-breaking 14.1 inches on January 5th.

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