Fri Oct 18 07:40:00 UTC 2024: ## Trump Edges Out Harris in New Fox News Poll, but Race Remains Tight

**WASHINGTON, D.C.** – A new national survey conducted by Fox News shows former President Donald Trump narrowly ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race, with Trump leading 50% to 48%. This represents a shift from last month when Harris held a slight advantage.

While Trump holds a national lead, Harris maintains a 6-point lead in seven key battleground states, according to the poll. Notably, the candidates are tied among voters in counties that were closely contested in the 2020 election.

The survey suggests that Trump’s strength lies in counties he won by a significant margin in 2020, while Harris holds a stronger position in counties won by President Biden. This raises the question of whether Harris could win the Electoral College despite losing the national popular vote, a scenario reminiscent of the 2000 and 2016 elections.

The poll reveals that Trump’s advantage is primarily driven by increased support among White voters, who now favor him by 10 points. He has also gained ground with voters over 65 and those with a college degree.

Conversely, Harris has seen her support decline among Black voters, college graduates, voters over 65, and White voters with a college degree.

Despite these fluctuations, the race remains remarkably close. Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducted the survey with Republican Daron Shaw, suggests that the contest hinges on voter turnout rather than persuasion.

The poll also reveals that:

* The gender gap persists, with men supporting Trump and women backing Harris.
* Harris enjoys strong support among new voters and non-MAGA Republicans.
* She maintains a double-digit lead among independents, but Trump benefits from a higher number of national Republican identifiers.
* Both candidates hold strong support among their respective partisan bases.
* Trump has improved his standing on various issues since September, while Harris holds an edge on issues like abortion, climate change, and healthcare.
* Voters overwhelmingly perceive the economy as the most important issue, with Trump seen as the better candidate for handling economic matters.
* Harris is seen as more trustworthy on issues like abortion, climate change, and healthcare.

Despite the narrow margin and potential for a shift in the Electoral College, the poll highlights the importance of voter turnout in this tightly contested race. The outcome will likely be determined by which candidate can successfully mobilize their supporters to the polls.

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